Return-Path: Sender: (Yaneer Bar-Yam) To: complex-science Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:08:40 -0500 Message-ID: X-Original-Return-Path: Received: from [213.46.243.22] (HELO amsfep14-int.chello.nl) by necsi.org (CommuniGate Pro SMTP 4.0.3) with ESMTP id 1763638 for complex-science at necsi.org; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:37:19 -0500 Received: from loet ([24.132.5.226]) by amsfep14-int.chello.nl (InterMail vM.5.01.05.17 201-253-122-126-117-20021021) with ESMTP id <20030305163559.FQOW6562.amsfep14-int.chello.nl at loet>; Wed, 5 Mar 2003 17:35:59 +0100 From: "Loet Leydesdorff" X-Original-To: "Simsoc" Subject: comments are very welcome in this stage, L. X-Original-Date: Wed, 5 Mar 2003 17:35:55 +0100 X-Original-Message-ID: <000201c2e335$4e1e36d0$e2058418 at loet> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0003_01C2E33D.AFE29ED0" X-Priority: 3 (Normal) X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook, Build 10.0.2627 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1106 Importance: Normal This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0003_01C2E33D.AFE29ED0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Anticipation in Social Systems Paper to be presented at the Int. Conference on Computing Anticipatory Systems (CASYS'03), Liege, August 2003. Preprint versions available at http://www.leydesdorff.net/casys03 Loet Leydesdorff & Daniel Dubois Abstract: In social systems, meaning can be communicated in addition to-and on top of-underlying processes of the information exchanges. It can be shown that the sole assumption of social relatedness as a variable among groups of agents provides sufficient basis for deriving the logistic map as a first-order approximation of the social system. The anticipatory formulation of the logistic map can be derived when anticipation is assumed in either the interaction term among or in the aggregation of the subgroups. By recombining the incursive meaning processing and recursive information processing an observer can be generated as a reflection on the system under observation. Observers can also observe one another's observations. By using cellular automata it can be shown that the resulting representation at the level of the second-order or social system can improve on the representations entertained by each of the observing or first-order systems. _____ Loet Leydesdorff Amsterdam School of Communications Research (ASCoR) Kloveniersburgwal 48, 1012 CX Amsterdam Tel.: +31-20- 525 6598; fax: +31-20- 525 3681 loet at leydesdorff.net ; http://www.leydesdorff.net/ The Challenge of Scientometrics ; The Self-Organization of the Knowledge-Based Society ------=_NextPart_000_0003_01C2E33D.AFE29ED0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Message

Anticipation in Social=20 Systems
Paper to be = presented at the=20 Int. Conference on Computing Anticipatory Systems (CASYS'03), Liege, = August=20 2003.
Preprint versions available at http://www.leydesdorff.net/ca= sys03

Loet Leydesdorff & = Daniel=20 Dubois

Abstract:
In=20 social systems, meaning can be communicated in addition to—and on = top=20 of—underlying processes of the information exchanges. It can be = shown that the=20 sole assumption of social relatedness as a variable among groups of = agents=20 provides sufficient basis for deriving the logistic map as a first-order = approximation of the social system. The anticipatory formulation of the = logistic=20 map can be derived when anticipation is assumed in either the = interaction term=20 among or in the aggregation of the subgroups. By recombining the = incursive=20 meaning processing and recursive information processing an observer can = be=20 generated as a reflection on the system under observation. Observers can = also=20 observe one another’s observations. By using cellular automata it = can be shown=20 that the resulting representation at the level of the second-order or = social=20 system can improve on the representations entertained by each of the = observing=20 or first-order systems.
Loet Leydesdorff
Amsterdam School = of=20 Communications Research (ASCoR)
Kloveniersburgwal 48, 1012 CX=20 Amsterdam
Tel.: +31-20- 525 6598; fax: +31-20- 525 3681
loet at leydesdorff.net = ; http://www.leydesdorff.net/ =
 
The=20 Challenge of Scientometrics ; The=20 Self-Organization of the Knowledge-Based Society
 
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